zlacker

>>atomro+(OP)
If 2023 ends up giving us AGI, room-temperature superconductors, Starships and a cure for cancer, I think we will able to call it a good year...

>>lelag+Ic
We’re not getting AGI anytime soon…

>>azinma+B41
What exactly is your definition of a AGI? Because we’re already passing the Turing test, and so I have to wonder if this isn’t just moving the goalposts.

>>Abraha+o81
Self consciousness. Human-level of reasoning. Feelings, etc.

We are NOT close to AGI.

* Fancy Markov chain (LLM) is not AGI.

* Stable diffusion style of image generation is NOT AGI.

* Fancy computer vision is NOT AGI.

Honestly, I don't think we are any closer to AGI. What we are seeing is the peak of "fancy tricks" for computer generated artifacts.

>>emmanu+fp1
Look carefully at these goals and tell me if these are materially falsifiable. Can you imagine a test that determines whether or not a system has self consciousness?

If such a test exists we could interrogate if a system of some design might pass it, but if such a test does not exist and we cannot even imagine it then you’re talking about something that is unfalsifiable - which is another way of saying “effectively fake”.