I hope we find a path to at least fine-tuning medium sized models for prices that aren't outrageous. Even the tiny corp's tinybox [1] is $15k and I don't know how much actual work one could get done on it.
If the majority of startups are just "wrappers around OpenAI (et al.)" the reason is pretty obvious.
2) Speaking of VPSes and web 1.0 in the same breath is a little anachronistic. Servers had much lower capacity in 1999, and cost much more. Sun was a billion dollar company during the bubble because it was selling tens of thousands of unix servers to startups in order to handle the traffic load. Google got a lot of press because they were the oddballs who ran on commodity x86 hardware.