Good lord we are screwed. And yet somehow I bet even this isn't going to kill off the they're just statistical interpolators meme.
[1] https://www.deepmind.com/blog/tackling-multiple-tasks-with-a...
I think it’s in everyone’s benefit if we start planning for a world where a significant portion of the experts are stubbornly wrong about AGI. As a technology, generally intelligent ML has the potential to change so many aspects of our world. The dangers of dismissing the possibility of AGI emerging in the next 5-10 years are huge.
Again, I think we should consider "The Human Alignment Problem" more in this context. The transformers in question are large, heavy and not really prone to "recursive self-improvement".
If the ML-AGI works out in a few years, who gets to enter the prompts?
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Obviously "/s", obviously joking, but meant to highlight that there are a few parties that would all answer "me" and truly mean it, often not in a positive way.