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[return to "Why the Wuhan lab leak theory shouldn't be dismissed"]
1. Booris+7Z1[view] [source] 2021-03-22 22:18:13
>>ruarai+(OP)
I think the theory should be dismissed because it's not falseable.

Right now, there is no question that say, the US military has samples of Coronavirus. Not for nefarious reasons mind you, but of course it's of military importance to study a global virus if only to work on vaccines and such.

Even if Coronavirus originated in nature, going forward if there is ever a new outbreak, you technically can't prove it wasn't the US military accidentally messing up can you?

You don't know the characteristics of the strain they're holding, and if it originated in nature then any study of it will show it came from nature.

Likewise you can't prove it wasn't the lab. They could have had samples of it from before, how can you prove the negative of that? It's hard to prove you didn't have access to a given thing.

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2. Booris+yB2[view] [source] 2021-03-23 02:53:32
>>Booris+7Z1
It's weird that this is such an unpopular concept to some people

If a child insists you have cooties (the fictitious ones, not lice) do you fight them to the bitter end?

You can never prove definitively that you don't since, of course they're not real, and the child gets to define the criteria for having them "oh you can't see cooties with a microscope, only I can!"

It's not about implying the Wuhan lab did release the vaccine, but it's about realizing chasing a conclusion that is not falsible is never going to give you a scientific conclusion.

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Most of the current lab leak theories revolve around:

> But it’s also possible that SARS-CoV-2 evolved naturally in the wild before it was brought into a lab to be studied, only to subsequently escape.

At the end of the day you're saying the one thing you can freely observe indicates it was not man-made, but due to factors you can never observe (with an extremely closed country with a government structure that strongly discourages a mistake like this ever being properly attributed even if there wasn't immense pressure to not have this come out as the case)

Well when it comes to pinning blame on a country for releasing a virus that leads to a pandemic, "if it quacks like a duck" doesn't pass does it?

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Why not spend energy looking at how we went from a virus shutting down a city in mainland China to 500k deaths in the US and all the mistakes made along the way there rather than chasing the equivalent of saying another kid gave us cooties on purpose...

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