zlacker

[return to "Why the Wuhan lab leak theory shouldn't be dismissed"]
◧
1. 0-_-0+K7[view] [source] 2021-03-22 14:06:10
>>ruarai+(OP)
For anyone who wants to set their Bayesian priors to estimate the probability of a lab leak I recommend this list:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_accidents_and_incident...

For example, the SARS coronavirus (SARS-CoV-1) escaped from the lab twice, both in 2003 and 2004.

◧◩
2. ricksu+ic2[view] [source] 2021-03-22 23:29:50
>>0-_-0+K7
further priors-updating: SARS escaped from the lab 4 times - Once each in Singapore and Taiwan, and yes twice in Beijing:

https://twitter.com/mattwridley/status/1351198664950128641?s...

https://gillesdemaneuf.medium.com/the-good-the-bad-and-the-u...

[go to top]