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[return to "Obama: I will be the Democratic nominee"]
1. myname+K[view] [source] 2008-06-04 03:56:05
>>nirmal+(OP)
My god, this whole comment thread is people wondering out loud if "this is hacker news" or not. Give it a rest. No it's not hacker news, and no it doesn't matter. If you're really concerned with the purity of a website, you're going to have to find out who upmodded the thing and then ban them.

As I said a long time ago: The democrats have one chance to lose this election, and that is to nominate Barack Obama. Oddly, given that McCain is basically a moderate democrat himself, a loss by Obama would probably tend to neuter the GOP and result in an overall advantage for the leftist program.

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2. rms+M[view] [source] 2008-06-04 03:59:53
>>myname+K
The prediction markets like Obama. http://www.intrade.com

McCain has been around for a long time and has said a lot of contradictory things -- it is easy to edit videos together to make him look like a fool. A flip-flopper, if you will.

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3. Mayson+Ng[view] [source] 2008-06-05 01:50:46
>>rms+M
Intrade's markets on the election are ripe for arbitrage: 4.2 the price for the Clinton nomination, and 6.0 for her winning the general. What's that, a 43% profit with very very low risk[buy the nomination, sell the general: can't win the general without the nomination]?
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4. rms+Pg[view] [source] 2008-06-05 01:53:04
>>Mayson+Ng
The problem is that the Intrade market is small, requires a wire transfer + personal docs to deposit money, and is almost certainly illegal in the US. I've wanted to play there many times, but I've never wanted to go through the process of getting my money to Ireland.
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